Scaling Laws: What They Mean for the Next Five Years

By C.W. Jameson · Published 28 May 2025 · Last reviewed 28 June 2025

Scaling laws predicted GPT-4. Whether they will predict GPT-6 is a genuinely open question in 2025.

How Chinchilla scaling laws work, where they are breaking down in 2025, and what this means for future model development.